World Cup 2026 June 22 Picks & Predictions

Four matchday-two games on Monday, June 22, and three of them are heavy favourites against a single live underdog spot. That shape — short prices everywhere, one genuine coin-flip — tells you exactly where to spend your time. This is a step-by-step read of all four, with decimal odds as of June 22 (~10:00 ET) and local kickoff times for both Eastern and Pacific Canada, so you know when to be at the screen.

TL;DR — What you need to know in 30 seconds

• Argentina vs Austria (1:00 PM ET / 10:00 AM PT) — Argentina 1.58, draw 3.65, Austria 5.38. Holders are unbeaten this run; a win all but seals R32.
• France vs Iraq (5:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM PT) — France 1.08, draw 7.68, Iraq 27.84. As short as it gets; the value is in goals and props, not the result.
• Norway vs Senegal (8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT) — Norway 2.04, draw 3.41, Senegal 3.22. The one true three-way market of the day.
• Jordan vs Algeria (11:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM PT) — Jordan 6.24, draw 3.98, Algeria 1.47. Algeria favoured but both sides lost their openers.
• Discipline note: three of four are odds-on. Singles on heavy favourites bleed value — pick your one spot.

The four games at a glance

Decimal odds, consensus, as of June 22 ~10:00 ET — treat as indicative and confirm the current line at your book.

1. Argentina vs Austria — the safe-looking one with a storyline

Argentina come in unbeaten on an eight-match winning run, having opened with a 3-0 over Algeria. Austria are W-W-W-W-D and beat Jordan 3-1, so this is not a free hit at 5.38. The number that matters is Messi’s: he sits one goal from breaking Klose’s all-time men’s World Cup record of 16, which he tied with a hat-trick. Austria captain David Alaba framed the threat plainly: “We know what kind of opponent we’re up against, what kind of quality they have in their ranks, even besides Messi, but also what they’re capable of as a team.” The full Messi-record angle is broken down on our Argentina vs Austria betting page.

Practitioner read: the 1.58 result is fair but unexciting; the live interest is the goalscorer and player-prop board, not the moneyline.

2. France vs Iraq — too short to back straight

France are 1.08. Mbappé is already France’s all-time top scorer after his brace against Senegal, and the model probabilities reported put France around 88%. At that price a straight win returns almost nothing, and the bust risk (a shock, a red, a rotated XI) is asymmetric.

Practitioner read: if you have a view, it’s on team goals or a France player to score, not on the 1.08 result.

3. Norway vs Senegal — the day’s real market

This is the one game priced as a contest: Norway 2.04, draw 3.41, Senegal 3.22. Norway have won 11 straight competitive matches and Haaland has scored in 11 consecutive Norway games; Senegal bounced back into form before losing 1-3 to France. The model split (Norway ~45% / draw ~25% / Senegal ~30%) is close enough that the three-way market is where a genuine opinion pays.

Practitioner read: if you back one result all day, make it here — this is the only spot where the price reflects real uncertainty.

4. Jordan vs Algeria — favourite, but read the openers

Algeria are 1.47 favourites after losing 0-3 to Argentina; Jordan lost 1-3 to Austria. Riyad Mahrez is reported returning to the XI. Both sides need points, which usually means an open game rather than a cagey one.

Your next steps

For the bigger picture behind today’s prices, the outright winner odds and top scorer odds pages show where the futures market sits, and new bettors should start with our World Cup betting guide.

Markets for all four games are available in decimal and C$ at Canadian-facing books such as WinRolla and MrPacho. Bet the spot you actually have an edge on, not the whole card.

Odds are decimal and were accurate as of June 22, 2026 (~10:00 ET). Lines move; confirm at your sportsbook before betting. 19+ (18+ in AB/QC/MB). Bet responsibly — ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.